A first Valdai perspective on Europe Parlament Election result


Equilibrium in Europe. What’s to be expected from the New European Parliament?

Interestingly enough, the elections to the European Parliament have not yet ended: the process will now shift from the public sphere to the negotiation of internal agreements on the distribution of posts; this determines the nature of the EU executive branch. The decision-making apparatus will also change. How so? This was discussed by a panel of experts at a meeting which was held at the Valdai Discussion Club on May 27 according to Chatham House rules.

In general, the panellists agreed that the new composition of the European Parliament seriously differs from that of the previous one: not only has the balance of power changed, but the parliament itself has become more fragmented. Right-wing nationalists got a few more saets. ”Europe of Freedom and Direct Democracy” also strengthened its position. On the other hand, the centre-right conservatives have become weaker. Although the right strengthened some positions in the European Parliament, they are not consolidated; they are divided into three different groups. If they do not unite, they risk repeating the fate of the past parliament, when the right turned out to be in an absolutely marginal position, unable to influence anything, one of the participants in the discussion said.

Changes are taking place separately in each of the leading EU countries: in France, there was almost a tie between Marine Le Pen (who came out slightly ahead) and Emmanuel Macron; in Germany the CSU/CDU coalition won with a minimum margin, in Great Britain the Brexit party won and the Conservatives lost. In Italy, there was a reshuffle in the ruling coalition: the League came in first place, while the Five Stars moved into the shadows.

One of the experts, in his speech, mentioned the possible impact of the recent elections on the situation in Italy, which, according to him, now has to cope with the migration flow alone. Italy needs support and a massive repatriation policy,” he said, “to prevent illegal immigration. He added, It would be easier if you could negotiate with other European countries. The Italians expect some additional measures from the European Parliament, but it differs from national parliaments. “There should be a consensus, because there are people of different views and citizenship. In his opinion, the pan-European problems to be solved by the new parliament include security, migration and economic growth.

About Ove Svidén

Ove Svidén was born on March 10, 1937 at 12:15 in Stockholm, Sweden. M.Sc., 1960, Aircraft Engineering, KTH, Royal Inst. of Technology, Stockholm. B.A., 1980, Psychology, Education, Politics at Linköping University. Received a Ph.D. 1989, on Scenarios, Dept. Management and Economics, Linköping University. Futures Research 1988-91, Systems Engineering and Consensus Formation Office at Drive Project, DGXIII, Brussels. CEO at ARISEeeig on Road Transport Informatics, 1992-99, Brussels. President, World Peace Foundation from 2001-, Stockholm (www.peace.se).
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